Market commentary or fund strategy at this time is often
out of date within a very short period of time. Therefore, this
update is a brief factual overview of performance and stock
contributors over the month of May. We are all too aware that
accurate and timely communication is vital to both you and your
clients, so for the most up-to-date information please contact your
usual Gartmore representative.
To view individual fund commentaries please click on one of the
below links:
Gartmore Cautious
Managed Fund
Gartmore China
Opportunities Fund
Gartmore Corporate Bond
Fund
Gartmore
Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund
Gartmore European
Absolute Return Fund
Gartmore
European Selected Opportunities Fund
Gartmore Global Focus
Fund
Gartmore UK Absolute Return
Fund
Gartmore UK Alpha Fund
Gartmore UK Equity Income
Fund
Gartmore US Growth
Fund
Gartmore US Opportunities
Fund
For professional investors only. Not to be circulated to retail
investors.
Gartmore Cautious Managed
Fund
| • |
10-year gilt yields falling, gold rising and equities in
decline |
| • |
Quiet month with two new corporate bonds, one new equity
position and additions to existing holdings |
| • |
Remain defensively positioned, preferring corporate to equities
and sovereign exposures |
Review
All the worries of a year ago started to resurface in May. This
time, though, with sovereign debt concerns rather than specific
banking worries, although widening credit spreads and a sharp rise
in LIBOR indicate that banks are by no means out of the woods. A
surprise for many was the fact that UK Gilts (but not Sterling)
became a relative safe haven, with 10-year gilt yields falling from
3.9% to 3.6%. Gold continued its climb, rising by another 3% over
the month.
Declines in UK equities were widespread, with all FTSE sectors
falling. Defensive businesses withstood the impact somewhat better
than cyclicals. Industrial metals and mining suffered the largest
drop, while the large oil & gas producers cost the most in
index points. Much attention has been focused on BP since the
Deepwater Horizon incident, and the slump in its share price was
responsible for a significant proportion of the fall in the FTSE
All-Share Index.
The Gartmore Cautious Managed Fund delivered a return of -3.2% for
May, in line with the IMA Cautious Managed Sector Average. This
brings the year to date performance to 1.1%, which is slightly
ahead of the Sector Average.
Within the equity book, we benefited from the defensive
positioning which we have maintained for some considerable time
now. We had positive contributions from overweight exposure to
AstraZeneca, BT, Dairy Crest and Communisis. We were underweight
both BP and Shell, which also helped. There were some detractors
too, such as an overweight in Lloyds, but overall the equity
portion of the Fund outperformed the FTSE All-Share Index.
Our strategy regarding BP has been to build our position into
further weakness. We think that the uncertainties over future
litigation have led many investors simply to throw in the towel,
the result being that the share price fall could now be
significantly greater than the expected liabilities. If we are
right, the shares could recover sharply as some of the short term
sentiment starts to reverse. Vague thoughts of a bid for the
company - a desperately unfortunate prospect - cannot be entirely
discounted.
Otherwise we had a fairly quiet month in terms of activity, with
just a few new names introduced. We started a new holding in
Northern Foods and took two new corporate bond exposures: Rexam and
Tullett Prebon. With prices in decline, we were able to take
advantage of the opportunity to add to some of our existing
holdings at attractive prices.
Outlook
Over the past month we have seen something of a change in investor
sentiment, with the focus switching to negative news rather than
the buoyantly positive reactions that have dominated over the past
year. While corporate earnings have indeed been improving and
balance sheets are healthier than they were 18 months ago, there is
now, finally, some recognition that the improvement has been
achieved at the expense of government balance sheets and greater
fiscal deficits. How much the corporate sector can hang onto its
gains in the face of public sector retrenchment is the crucial
question for the next six months.
Despite seeing some good value emerging in a number of companies,
we still do not see equities as a whole making much headway for
now. We remain defensively positioned, seeing more value in
corporate debt rather than equities and sovereign exposures.
Important
Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid,
net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at
31.05.10, unless otherwise stated. Past performance is not a guide
to future performance. The value of investments can go down as well
as up and you may not get back your original investment. When a
fund holds high yielding bonds there is an increased risk of
capital erosion through default or if the underlying yield is below
the distribution yield. You should also be aware that economic
conditions and changes to interest rate levels may significantly
impact the values of high yield bonds. The annual management fee is
currently charged to the capital of the Fund. Whilst this increases
the yield, it will restrict the potential for capital growth. The
level of yield may be subject to fluctuation and is not guaranteed.
Please ensure your clients read the Simplified Prospectus before
investing. The opinions expressed reflect Gartmore's views as at
18.06.10 and are subject to change.
Back to top
Gartmore China Opportunities
Fund
| • |
Over the month, the Fund ranked second percentile in its
sector |
| • |
Over 12 months, the Fund has outperformed the Index by
5.4% |
| • |
Overweights in Ctrip, Baidu, Want Want, Kunlun Energy and Wynn
Macau all contributed |
| • |
Top-ups in China Petroleum and China
Mobile |
Review
The Gartmore China Opportunities Fund ranked in the second
percentile of the IMA Asia Pacific ex Japan Sector Average after
falling by 1.4% over the month, while the MSCI Zhong Hua Index lost
0.6%. Year-to-date, the Fund has performed in the top quartile,
rising 4.9%.
Overweight holdings in Ctrip, Baidu, Want Want, Kunlun and Wynn
Macau all delivered the month's strongest returns. Ctrip's online
ticketing franchise continues to benefit from the pick-up in
domestic business and leisure travel. We expect the company to
deliver strong earnings ahead of expectations. Baidu continues to
perform strongly in the IT sector following Google's exit from
China. Consumer staples company Want Want, which produces
beverages, rice crackers and confectionary products, represents a
long term holding in the Fund and continues to be a strong
performer relative to its sector. Integrated downstream gas
supplier Kunlun Energy benefited from strong demand in the clean
energy industry. Wynn Macau moved higher after the gaming sector's
headline gross gaming revenue increased 93% year-on-year or 20%
month-on-month. Gaming revenues continue to be very robust despite
evidence of liquidity tightening.
The Fund's overweight positions in Nine Dragons, Bosideng, China
Agri and underweight in China Mobile all detracted from
performance. Paper packaging company Nine Dragons suffered during
the recent market volatility due to risk aversion and cyclical
concerns. Menswear company Bosideng had a weak month as a result of
profit taking following a strong run in April. We believe Bosideng
continues to offer good value relative to its sector. Food products
group China Agri underperformed due to concerns over soya bean
crushing margins and possible delays in its parent group's
restructuring. Despite being the largest holding in the portfolio
at month end, we hold a small underweight in China Mobile relative
to the benchmark. We believe the company continues to offer good
value and has high levels of cash generation.
There was some portfolio activity over the month. We sold out of
China Mengniu, Gome and MediaTek and invested the proceeds in large
cap stocks, China Petroleum and China Mobile. After a year of
underperformance, we see an attractive risk-reward trade off in
large cap China stocks relative to small caps. We disposed of dairy
producer China Mengniu following disappointing results. We sold the
home electronics retailer Gome as a slower property market will
likely hurt their sales going forward. We exited Taiwan after
trimming our exposure to the technology hardware sector by
disposing of MediaTek.
Outlook
The global macroeconomic outlook is mixed with positives from the
US and negatives from Europe. Within China, growth is strong but
moderating from the heights of the first quarter. Recent action by
the authorities to reduce property prices is prudent but, together
with a currency pegged to the strong dollar, is producing a tighter
monetary environment, so we will continue to watch policy very
closely.
Recent newsflow about rising wages doesn't surprise us. Wages have
been rising for many years and their rises are a key part of
encouraging domestic consumption, which is essential for global
economic rebalancing. Labour disputes and strikes are not new
either but their scale seems greater than before and we will
monitor this going forward.
US macroeconomic data appears robust, while Europe is dealing with
economic and political issues that look set to rumble on. Chinese
economic activity is robust but concerns over tightening in the
property sector have caused investors to take a more cautious
approach. Notwithstanding many global macroeconomic uncertainties,
we expect any pull-back in the Chinese market to present a good
opportunity to top up our most compelling positions. We expect
China to continue to benefit as a recovery gathers momentum and we
remain confident that Chinese equities represent decent value.
There are still many doubters on China which continues to offer the
potential for unexpected earnings growth particularly within the
consumer sector.
Important
Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid,
net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at
31.05.10, unless otherwise stated. Past performance is not a guide
to future performance. The value of investments can go down as well
as up and you may not get back your original investment. The Fund
can invest in smaller companies which can be more risky than
investing in larger companies due to lack of liquidity and
increased volatility. Emerging markets tend to be more volatile
than more established stock markets and therefore your money is at
greater risk. Other risk factors such as political and economic
conditions should also be considered. Funds investing in overseas
securities are exposed to and can hold currencies other than
sterling. As a result, exchange rate movements may cause the value
of investments to decrease or increase. Please ensure your clients
read the Simplified Prospectus before investing. The opinions
expressed reflect Gartmore's views as at 18.06.10 and are subject
to change.
Back to top
Gartmore Corporate Bond
Fund
* Please note that the Gartmore Corporate Bond Fund
was launched on 18.07.09 to receive the assets of the Rensburg
Corporate Bond Trust (managed by John Anderson) on the merger of
the two funds on 18.07.09. Performance figures prior to 18.07.09
reflect the performance of the Rensburg Corporate Bond Trust
converted from an offer to offer basis to a mid to mid basis. The
benchmark index changed to the iBoxx Sterling Non-Gilts Index on
18.07.09.
| • |
UK base rates to remain on hold, despite inflationary
concerns |
| • |
Fund activity focused on increasing exposure to high quality
defensive names |
| • |
Markets remain volatile with high levels of risk
aversion |
Performance
Over the month of May, the Gartmore Corporate Bond Fund returned
-0.7%, compared to 0.0% for the iBoxx Sterling Non-Gilt Index and
-0.7% for the IMA Sterling Corporate Bond Sector Average.
Economic and Market background
A much anticipated fiscal tightening by the new Con-Lib government
coalition is likely to increase the pressure on the monetary
authorities to keep rates on hold. It appears that they are now
prepared to continue maintaining extremely low interest rates
despite the current above-target level of inflation. The primary
reason for this is their fear that raising rates will thwart any
economic recovery from here on. We believe that, given the current
economic environment, interest rates are likely to remain static
for the foreseeable future, the expectation of which has
underpinned the short-end of the yield curve.
Fears of an imminent default by Greece at the start of May
triggered off a surge in risk aversion. Evidence of a flight to
quality by investors was witnessed in the UK as 10-year gilt yields
continued to fall below 4%. Continuing concerns over the Eurozone's
sovereign debt crisis placed further downward pressure on higher
quality government bond yields. Corporate bond spreads, meanwhile,
began to widen as fears of contagion from the Eurozone debt crisis
and economic uncertainty continued to grow.
Credit spreads, which offer a gauge for risk aversion, still do not
appear to offer much in the way of value. Spreads on Sterling
investment grade issues averaging around 120 basis points over
gilts are now back at around the same levels that they were when
Northern Rock collapsed in 2007 and, as such, can be seen as now
offering more than fair value at best.
Investment Strategy
Mindful of the sovereign debt crisis, which continues to unfold,
our focus has been on rebalancing the portfolio to reduce its
overall exposure to the growing risks currently being felt in the
market. We have increased our exposure to utilities and food
retailers, whose non-cyclical nature offers excellent defensive
qualities. Our focus has been on buying higher quality names, such
as E.ON and Tesco, which fall into these sectors.
We have reduced our exposure to financials, including Tier 1's,
which have come under further pressure from worries of financial
contagion stemming from the Eurozone. Stresses on European
interbank lending have also had a negative impact on financials. We
cut positions in Barclays and Aviva, while on the other hand
increased positions in quasi-sovereigns such as Network Rail and
KFW, which have the advantage of implicit government support. At
present, 10-year gilts are currently yielding around 3.5%, which in
our view represents little value.
Outlook
Markets continue to remain volatile, with high levels of risk
aversion. It is increasingly difficult to say, given the current
economic climate, how markets will look six months from now.
However, it is worth considering a few facts. Firstly, at current
interest rate levels, the long-end does not appear to offer good
value given the stubbornly high level of UK inflation. Secondly, at
the short-end, yields remain extremely low due to heightened levels
of risk aversion which fuelled a flight to quality, as well as the
low probability of any future interest rate increases. We believe
that the yield curve will remain steep for the foreseeable
future.
We have yet to see if the Eurozone's proposed bailout of Greece
will actually work. It is also not clear what the contagion affect
will be on other Eurozone countries with large budget deficits. The
Eurozone is the UK's largest trading partner and the full impact
and severity of its sovereign debt crisis may not have yet fully
revealed itself. However, such uncertainty is now being priced in
by markets, which will remain nervous for some time to come.
Important
Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid,
net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at
31.05.10. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not
get back your original investment. This Fund invests in bonds and
other fixed income securities and derivatives which collectively
may be more volatile than a fund investing solely in cash or bonds.
The Fund may trade instruments which are not exchange traded and
therefore contain the risk a counterparty may not be able to honour
its contractual obligations. Currently, the annual management
charge is taken from the capital of the Fund, which will increase
the income yield, but restrict the potential for capital growth.
Yields may change in the opposite direction to interest rates,
however, not by the same increments. The Fund invests in corporate
bonds whose prices are aligned with the credit worthiness of the
underlying corporate. A deterioration in a corporate credit rating
may have a negative impact on the bonds price. Derivatives may be
used for the purpose of efficient portfolio management. However,
appropriate risk monitoring will ensure that there is no
significant increase in a fund's risk profile. Derivatives will not
be used for investment purposes. Please ensure your clients read
the Simplified Prospectus before investing. The opinions expressed
reflect Gartmore's views as at 18.06.10 and are subject to
change.
Back to top
Gartmore Emerging
Markets Opportunities Fund
| • |
Overweights in Baidu and Kunlun and underweight in Hon Hai all
contributed to performance |
| • |
New position in Ashok Leyland and disposal of
Maruti |
Review
The Gartmore Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund fell by 6.1% over
the month, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the IMA Global
Emerging Markets Sector Average lost 3.9% and 5.0%
respectively.
A number of the Fund's overweight holdings performed well over the
month, among them Baidu and Kunlun and the Fund's underweight in
Hon Hai. China's top Internet search company Baidu surged higher
after announcing that it aims to raise its share of China's PC and
mobile search market to 79% next year, helped by a Google retreat.
The Chinese search engine captured more than 64% of China's search
market in the first quarter, up from 58% in the fourth quarter.
Crude oil and natural gas explorer and producer Kunlun Energy rose
higher after announcing that it would buy a 55% stake in
PetroChina. Hon Hai fell after offering workers at its Foxconn unit
in China a 66% performance-based pay rise, raising concerns over
its earnings.
Our overweight positions in Grasim and MphasiS were among the
Fund's key detractors over the month. Indian materials company
Grasim fell over the month, after the Bombay Stock Exchange
announced that the company will make an exit from the Sensex,
BSE-100, BSE-200 and BSE-500 indices owing to the demerger of its
cement business. Indian information technology company MphasiS also
suffered over the month. As the Indian outsourcing industry is
witnessing a turnaround and new orders are emerging, the
relationship between MphasiS and Hewlett Packard may hurt MphasiS
because of its overdependence on the US technology giant. Recently,
MphasiS has experienced a cut in billing rates from Hewlett-Packard
as the technology giant looked to bring rates more in line with
industry levels, which had fallen during the slowdown.
There was a reasonable level of activity for the portfolio over the
month. After a sustained period of underperformance and pursuant to
our sell discipline, we sold out of Indian automobile company
Maruti and reinvested the proceeds in Ashok Leyland. Ashok is a
company which is continually under-researched and is very often
rated a 'sell'. The company specialises in commercial vehicles,
which recently reported a 65% annual unit growth rate as an
industry, with Ashok's market share rising. Ashok's newest plant is
in an excise tax haven, meaning the company's recent expansion will
benefit from lower taxes. We expect the company to perform very
well against imports and the higher priced offering from
Tata.
Outlook
We remain confident of a shallow, yet broad-based recovery in the
G7 nations during 2010. As the recovery takes hold, concerns over
rising interest rates have caused investors to take a more cautious
approach. Recent volatility in global equity markets continues to
present good opportunities to top up our key positions. We expect
China, Russia and Mexico to gain most from the recovery as it
gathers momentum and are therefore maintaining a key overweight in
these regions, whilst underweighting Israel and South Korea.
As improvements in global demand continue to assist the recovery in
emerging economies, we expect to see improvements across our
cyclical stocks. Meanwhile, we continue to favour consumer staples
firms, such as Shoprite, and information technology companies, such
as Baidu, whilst remaining neutral in financials.
Important
Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid,
net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at
31.05.10, unless otherwise stated. Past performance is not a guide
to future performance. The value of investments can go down as well
as up and you may not get back your original investment. This Fund
invests in emerging markets, which tend to be more volatile than
more established stock markets and therefore your money is at
greater risk. Funds investing in overseas securities are exposed to
and can hold currencies other than sterling. As a result, exchange
rate movements may cause the value of investments to decrease or
increase. In addition, the Fund can invest in smaller companies
which can be more risky than investing in larger companies due to
lack of liquidity and increased volatility. Please ensure your
clients read the Simplified Prospectus before investing. The
opinions expressed reflect Gartmore's views as at 18.06.10 and are
subject to change.
Back to top
Gartmore European
Absolute Return Fund
| • |
Equity markets were engulfed in a sense of 'déjà vu', with much
higher volatility and dramatic mood swings |
| • |
Germany once again outperformed peripheral Europe |
| • |
Robust corporate earnings and outlooks were ignored by the
market |
Review
Over the month of May, the Gartmore European Absolute Return Fund
delivered -2.0%. The Fund is not managed against a benchmark and at
present stock selection is the key driver to performance. Currently
we do not hold a strong sector bias and are actively seeking
investment ideas by adopting a bottom-up/stock specific
approach.
The bullishness of March and April seems like a very distant
memory, whilst equity markets were engulfed in a sense of 'déjà
vu', with much higher volatility, dramatic mood swings and no
shortage of ways of getting hurt. At the end of May, profit taking
ultimately led to the European equity market ending down, with
Germany once again materially outperforming peripheral
Europe.
The local currency performance was compounded by the euro's heavy
fall against the greenback in May. Robust corporate earnings and
outlooks were pretty much ignored by the market, as the macro news
kept the upper hand, making most European equity brokers become
'experts' of the Euro, VIX and CDS spreads.
During the month of May, on a gross basis the long book detracted
-4.52%*.
The only noteworthy contributor on the long side was Vodafone,
which the Fund purchased after its quarterly numbers, and after it
transpired that the company had not embarked in overly onerous
bidding for additional spectrum in both Germany and India. The main
detractors of value on the long side were the small financials held
in the Fund: BBVA, ING and Société Générale. Other detractors
included Gestevision Telecinco, as Spanish stocks slumped on
concerns that the rescue package for Greece won't be the last
bailout in Southern Europe.
Outlook
Doubts remain over the ability of governments to reduce budget
deficits and whilst we can only applaud the austerity packages,
they leave many questions unanswered. For example, will they be
enough? What negative impact will they have on unemployment and GDP
growth? Will they be adhered to by the most undisciplined members
of the Euro zone and what will be the social impact? However, we
remain positive on Europe's outlook for several reasons. First of
all, the valuation is compellingly cheap. Europe might just be a
value trap, but with the exception of financials, the rest of
Europe trades on a single digit P/E, and an average dividend yield
which is comfortably above core Eurozone's long term bond yields.
Secondly, balance sheets of European corporates are much healthier
than that of Sovereigns and, as we have highlighted before,
managements have done a great job at coping with the shortfall in
top line growth. Last but not least, the weak euro is very
supportive for European exporters. Headwinds still persist with
China showing a few signs of slowing down, which would be very
negative for global growth expectations, and the US economy
rebounding strongly but at a very high cost - a mountain of debt.
We will continue to seek good opportunities, but will also
consciously look not to 'force things' as long as the environment
does not reward stock picking. We remain confident that once the
peak of uncertainty has passed, the environment for stock pickers
will normalise again.
*Source: Gartmore/Vision as at 31.05.10
Important
Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid,
net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at
31.05.10, unless otherwise stated. Past performance is not a guide
to future performance. The value of investments can go down as well
as up and you may not get back your original investment. The
Gartmore European Absolute Return Fund invests in shares and
derivative instruments, which are more volatile than other asset
classes such as cash or bonds. The Fund aims to typically deliver
absolute (more than zero) returns in each year, although an
absolute return performance is not guaranteed. Over the short-term
it may experience periods of negative returns and consequently the
Fund may not achieve this objective. The Fund may invest in smaller
companies, which can be more risky than larger companies due to a
lack of liquidity and increased volatility. The shares of smaller
companies may be subject to more abrupt price movements than shares
of larger companies. The investment approach for this Fund may
involve a high level of investment activity and turnover of
investments, which may generate substantial transaction costs which
will be borne by the Fund. The Fund may invest in emerging markets
which tend to be more volatile than more established markets and
therefore your money could be at greater risk. Other risk factors
such as political and economic conditions should be considered. As
the Fund invests abroad, it is exposed to changes in exchange rates
which may cause the value of investments to fall or rise
independently of the underlying holdings. The Fund may try to
offset the influence of foreign currency fluctuations on the
performance of securities by hedging an equivalent amount in the
currency markets. However, securities may be hedged on a best
efforts basis and the Fund may have exposure to foreign currency
fluctuations. The Fund may take short positions via derivatives
with the aim of profiting from falling prices. If the price rises
this would result in a loss. The Fund may be subject to a
Performance Fee which may influence the manager to change the risk
profile of the Fund. Please see the "Performance Fee" section in
the Prospectus for further information. The Fund may trade
instruments, the performance of which depends on the continued
solvency of the counterparties to the trades. The Fund may employ
leverage as part of its investment strategy when using derivatives.
Derivatives may contain a leverage component and consequently any
adverse changes in the value or level of the underlying asset, rate
or index can result in a loss greater than the amount invested in
the derivative itself. Please ensure your clients read the
Simplified Prospectus before investing. The opinions expressed
reflect Gartmore's views as at 18.06.10 and are subject to
change.
Back to top
Gartmore
European Selected Opportunities Fund
| • |
The portfolio benefitted from astute stock and sector
selection |
| • |
Disposals during the month reflected our desire to reduce
exposure to the oil services sector |
| • |
New additions to the portfolio included Elekta and Essilor as
we increased our exposure to the health care
sector |
Review
Over the month of May, the Gartmore European Selected Opportunities
Fund returned -6.8%, outperforming the IMA Europe ex UK Sector
Average (-7.3%) and the FTSE Developed Europe ex UK Index
(-8.1%).
In a month dominated by difficult economic conditions and increased
risk aversion, the portfolio benefitted from astute stock and
sector selection. Over the month, the largest sector contributors
to alpha came from the financials and consumer goods sectors. The
portfolio's positive contribution from the financials sector
reflects our substantial underweight to what we consider a highly
vulnerable sector.
At the stock level our overweight holdings in Christian Dior,
Beiersdorf and Siemens led the portfolio's top positive
contributors to performance. Our position in Christian Dior
performed well as the market continued to recognise the superior
growth and cash flow profile of Europe's luxury goods sector.
Christian Dior represents an example of the type of high quality
blue chip franchise which we aim to identify for inclusion in the
portfolio. Beiersdorf, the producer of skincare products under the
Nivea brand, recouped earlier underperformance, while Siemens
responded well to a number of broker upgrades. We have recently
crystallised gains and reduced our holding in Siemens following
strong performance from the stock.
Less successful was our overweight position in semiconductor
manufacturer Infineon, which dragged on performance during the
month. This merely reflects profit taking after a very strong run
in the shares. We maintain our conviction in the stock and retain
our holding. Elsewhere, our holdings in the oil services sector,
namely Fugro and Petroleum Geo-Services, were also among the
laggards during May as the sector weakened following events in the
Gulf of Mexico.
Disposals during the month reflected our desire to reduce exposure
to the oil services sector following the biggest oil spill in US
history. With this in mind, we sold our holdings in CGG Veritas and
Petroleum Geo-Services. We also disposed of Lafarge and
Thyssenkrupp, as we sought to reduce the cyclical component of the
Fund. New additions to the portfolio included Elekta and Essilor as
we increased our exposure to the health care sector, a long term
favourite. Our decision to add to this sector reflects our belief
that Elekta and Essilor trade at compelling valuations and are a
key source of unexpected earnings. Our activity during the month
resulted in a reduction in the total number of names held in the
portfolio.
Outlook
Our broad outlook and strategy remains unchanged. This reflects our
style of money management and belief that it is unwise to make
panic decisions during uncertain market conditions. Rather, we
maintain that adhering to a tried and tested investment process is
the right strategy to follow. At the sector level, we remain
underweight the financials sector, most of which continue to look
over-indebted as well as opaque in their accounting. Our long held
overweight stance in the technology sector remains intact. While
short term "beta" rallies in the likes of financials and cyclicals
are inevitable, we continue to favour cash rich blue chips in
sectors such as health, technology and consumer staples, and
disfavour last year's winners such as banks and cyclicals. It is
our view that the debt threat has not gone away. Instead it has
merely shifted from corporates to sovereigns. This is also
reflected in our geographic weightings, broadly favouring Northern
Europe over Southern countries.
Important
Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid,
net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at
31.05.10. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not
get back your original investment Funds investing in overseas
securities are exposed to and can hold currencies other than
sterling. As a result, exchange rate movements may cause the value
of investments to decrease or increase. In addition, the Fund can
invest in smaller companies which can be more risky than investing
in larger companies due to lack of liquidity and increased
volatility. Please ensure your clients read the Simplified
Prospectus before investing. The opinions expressed reflect
Gartmore's views as at 18.06.10 and are subject to
change.
Back to top
Gartmore Global Focus
Fund
| • |
Global equity markets fell, whilst experiencing a significant
spike in volatility |
| • |
Corporate earnings have been encouraging; however, macro
economic concerns are driving sentiment |
| • |
Polo Ralph Lauren, Apple and Daimler held up well, while
exposure to Samsung, Royal Dutch Shell and Renault dragged on
performance |
Fund Performance
The Gartmore Global Focus Fund returned -5.4% in May, compared to
the MSCI World Index return of -4.6%.
Market Review
May was an exhausting month for Global equities, with the MSCI
World Index closing down 4.6%. But the decline was far from gentle:
volatility spiked markedly as systematic macro economic concerns
and stock-specific risks conspired, churning-out an unsettled and
highly correlated market. The increased volatility was fuelled by
bailouts, austerity packages, macro anxieties and a now infamous
oil leak in the Gulf of Mexico. Not forgetting, of course, the
'flash crash' that briefly spooked the market.
On the macro side, country risk problems in Southern Europe -
notably concerning Greece and Spain - continued to set the agenda.
A raft of public sector cost saving measures was announced across
the region, aimed at reducing budget deficits and rebuilding
confidence in sovereign debt. The effects of tightening fiscal
policies irked some investors worried about an already fragile
recovery; but doubts in governments' ability to actually deliver
the much needed cuts gained the ascendance.
Equities were further hit when German authorities introduced a
unilateral ban on short-selling, which led to a large sell-off as
investors questioned what other surprises regulators might have in
store. Tension in Thailand and on the Korean Peninsula, political
uncertainty in Japan, coalition talks in the UK, and fears of a
slowdown in China further blighted the mood.
Key Performance Contributors
Among our holdings, Polo Ralph Lauren, the premium apparel
manufacturer, contributed to performance. The stock won support
after unveiling financial results that significantly beat market
expectations. The consensus Q4 diluted EPS estimate from analysts
was 64 cents; the actual figure came in at $1.13 on a stronger than
expected rebound in retail and wholesale sales - a reflection of
the company's strong brand, prudent balance sheet, competent
management and increasingly successful entry into new markets,
particularly Asia.
Apple, a core strategic holding, continues to impress with the
month of May marking two major milestones: firstly, its market cap
surpassed that of Microsoft, making it the world's largest
technology company; and, secondly, sales of the iPad passed the one
million mark - in shorter time, incidentally, than Apple's hugely
successful iPhone. These numbers are testimony to Apple's powerful
franchise and its increasing ability to drive consumer trends.
Earnings repeatedly outflank market expectations and, according to
a company press release, demand for its products currently exceeds
supply.
Daimler, the maker of Mercedes-Benz cars and trucks, outperformed
after announcing that it would end work-hour reductions a month
earlier than planned due to stronger demand for its vehicles.
Moreover, the market responded favourably to figures released
during the month which showed that the company had gained market
share; the weakening euro - a positive stimulus to export sales -
provided further support.
Key Performance Detractors
Royal Dutch Shell was hit by the sector sell-off fuelled by the BP
Macondo crisis. Shell operates five deep-water oil-rigs in the Gulf
of Mexico and is likely to suffer temporarily from a US government
moratorium on drilling. The drop in oil price added to downward
momentum. But, with a healthy balance sheet, the prospect of
increased oil demand, and an ability to grow the dividend, our
conviction in Shell remains.
Samsung Electronics was marked-down on worries of increased
tensions on the Korean Peninsula. Although performance was
negative, it outperformed many of its competitors and continues to
offer potential for earnings surprise.
Renault reversed along with much of the automotive sector. The
stock declined as government 'cash for clunkers' schemes were
unwound and fears of a continued slow-down in its key market,
Europe, failed to abate.
Summary of Fund Activity
In May we added international mining giant Rio Tinto to the Fund,
tactically taking advantage of weakness in the sector and
encouraged by strong growth fundamentals - including attractive
supply/demand dynamics in copper. Rio Tinto is especially well
placed to capitalise on continued Chinese growth and global
economic recovery. Furthermore, we believe that the stock had been
oversold on fears of higher taxation rates in Australia.
Rolls-Royce was also added to the portfolio. Rolls-Royce exhibits
significant upside potential with limited downside risk. The firm
has a strong franchise, operates in an industry with particularly
high barriers to entry and is increasing market share in the civil
aerospace engine sector. We take a more positive view than the
market on the outlook for global air-passenger numbers and,
consequently, expect rising sales of wide-bodied aircraft; this
should translate into increased demand for Rolls-Royce engines.
Emirates' recent order of 32 A380s lends weight to this view.
China Construction Bank is one of China's largest banks. We bought
the stock on the back of strong first quarter results which showed
revenue growth of 15% and net profit up 34%. Earnings growth was
mainly attributable to increases in commission income and a
decrease in asset impairment losses. The bank has an improving
non-performing loan book, attractive capital adequacy ratios, and
offers value relative to the sector.
Samsung was trimmed during the month to marginally reduce our
overweight position in technology. By the end of the month, we had
sold Renault and switched into Daimler. Other sales included
Oracle, Panasonic and General Dynamics Corporation.
We remain underweight industrials and energy, whilst being
overweight information technology and consumer discretionary.
Outlook
Markets are indiscriminately pricing in a global economic slowdown
stemming from Europe's sovereign debt problems, enforced fiscal
tightening and measures taken by China to cool its economy. In
addition, potential action by populist governments - think BP and
its dividend, global banking levies, and the Australian commodities
tax - perturbs investors concerned about the impact of such costs
on profitability.
However, beyond the headlines, equity markets are becoming
alluringly cheap: company balance sheets are, on the whole, much
healthier than those of sovereigns; and management teams have done
a great job cutting costs and coping with shortfalls in top-line
sales growth. Investors are questioning, though, whether earnings
forecasts are accurate given the risks of a slowdown. In order for
equity markets to move higher, investors will need reassurance that
the global economic recovery can withstand the withdrawal of
monetary and fiscal stimulus, and that sovereign debt crises can be
contained.
So, for the time being, top-down macro concerns will likely
continue to eclipse positive corporate fundamentals. But, once the
peak of uncertainty has passed, we remain confident that the
environment for stock-pickers will normalise and unexpected
earnings will, once again, be rewarded more fully.
Important Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis:
Mid to mid, net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling
terms as at 31.05.10. The value of investments and the income from
them may go down as well as up and you may not get back your
original investment. Past performance is not a guide to future
performance. Funds investing in overseas securities are exposed to
and can hold currencies other than sterling. As a result, exchange
rate movements may cause the value of investments to decrease or
increase. The Fund is permitted to, and may hold, a limited number
of investments from time to time. Should one or more of these
investments decline or be otherwise adversely affected, it may have
a more pronounced effect on the Fund's value than if a larger
number of investments were held. In addition, the Fund can invest
in smaller companies which can be more risky than investing in
larger companies due to lack of liquidity and increased volatility.
The views expressed are Gartmore's views as at 18.06.10 and are
provided for information purposes only.
Back to
top
Gartmore UK Absolute Return
Fund
*The Fund launched on 14 April 2009.
| • |
Very difficult month for equity markets, with risk aversion
rising and all FTSE sectors declining |
| • |
Little differentiation at a stock level meant an unfavourable
environment for stock picking |
| • |
Keeping the gross exposure low while market volatility persists
at current levels |
Review May proved to be a very difficult month for
equity markets as many of the key concerns from April persisted or
worsened. Fear of contagion from European sovereign debt problems
pushed risk aversion higher once again and the VIX rose to the
highest levels since March last year.
All FTSE sectors declined over the month, with defensive businesses
bearing up somewhat better than cyclicals. Industrial metals and
mining suffered the largest drop, while the large oil & gas
producers cost the most in index points. BP's continuing woes in
the Gulf of Mexico saw it shed another 14% over May, and Shell also
reversed April's gains as oil prices dropped early in the
month.
Market volatility shot up over the past month and while the Fund's
volatility also rose it remains substantially below that of the
market. The already low gross exposure was reduced again towards
the end of the month to just over 60%. This is lower than our long
term average for the strategy, and while markets remain in the
current condition, will most likely stay around these low levels.
Net exposure for May averaged 25%, although this was also reduced
towards the end of the month, reaching 20% at month end.
The Gartmore UK Absolute Return Fund fell 1.9% during May, with a
positive result from the short book and index positions outweighed
by declines among the long positions. Starting with the positions
that detracted this month, our long in Royal Dutch Shell was the
poorest performer. Its share price dropped sharply at the start of
the month as oil prices tumbled, triggered by a declining euro and
fears that the European debt problems will dampen global growth
prospects. Micro Focus also weakened despite releasing a solid
trading statement, and our position has been maintained. C&C's
share price was choppy throughout the month but ultimately ended
around 11% lower despite announcing the sale of its spirits &
liqueurs division for €300m, well above the consensus
expectation.
More positive among the long positions was our exposure to gold
companies, Centamin Egypt and African Barrick Gold.
Outlook While markets persist with the current level of
volatility, we expect to keep the gross exposure low and, as ever,
net exposure will be determined by the number of long opportunities
we find relative to the number of shorts.
Although the lack of differentiation between sectors and stocks is
frustrating for our style, the volatility also uncovers new
opportunities at a stock level. The positions that we are
establishing now, in a similar vein to prior months, should benefit
disproportionately in the coming months, as the picture becomes
clearer and markets behave more rationally.
Important Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis:
Mid to mid, net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling
terms as at 31.05.10, unless otherwise stated. Past performance is
not a guide to future performance. The value of investments can go
down as well as up and you may not get back your original
investment. The Gartmore UK Absolute Return Fund invests in shares
and derivative instruments, which are more volatile than other
asset classes such as cash or bonds. The Fund aims to typically
deliver absolute (more than zero) returns in each year, although an
absolute return performance is not guaranteed. Over the short term
it may experience periods of negative returns and consequently the
Fund may not achieve this objective. The Fund may invest in smaller
companies, which can be more risky than larger companies due to a
lack of liquidity and increased volatility. The shares of smaller
companies may be subject to more abrupt price movements than shares
of larger companies. The investment approach for this Fund may
involve a high level of investment activity and turnover of
investments, which may generate substantial transaction costs which
will be borne by the Fund. This Fund primarily invests in a single
market which can be subject to particular political and economic
risks. The manager may invest in markets other than the primary
market and the Fund may therefore be exposed to risks in these
markets. The Fund may take short positions via derivatives with the
aim of profiting from falling prices. If the price rises this would
result in a loss. The Fund may be subject to a Performance Fee
which may influence the manager to change the risk profile of the
Fund. Please see the "Performance Fee" section in the Prospectus
for further information. The Fund may trade instruments, the
performance of which depends on the continued solvency of the
counterparties to the trades. The Fund may employ leverage as part
of its investment strategy when using derivatives. Derivatives may
contain a leverage component and consequently any adverse changes
in the value or level of the underlying asset, rate or index can
result in a loss greater than the amount invested in the derivative
itself. Please ensure your clients read the Simplified Prospectus
before investing. The opinions expressed reflect Gartmore's views
as at 18.06.10 and are subject to change.
Back to
top
Gartmore UK Alpha
Fund
| • |
Difficult month as investors focus on negative
newsflow |
| • |
Higher level of activity, with new positions in SDL, William
Hill and Xstrata |
| • |
Expecting a subdued recovery in the
UK |
Review
May was a very tough month for equities. There was a continuation
of the negative trend that began in April, with investors now
choosing to see the negative in any story and focusing on some of
the more outlandish, such as North Korea taking on the world. More
important for investor sentiment has been the collapse in the BP
share price following the Deepwater Horizon incident, which has
been responsible for a significant proportion of the fall in the
FTSE All-Share Index.
The Gartmore UK Alpha Fund delivered -9.1% over the month of May,
compared to -6.2% from both the FTSE All-Share Index and the IMA UK
All Companies Sector Average.
We were more active than usual this month, selling a number of
holdings and opening quite a number of new positions including SDL,
William Hill and Xstrata.
If May was difficult for equities, it was even more difficult for
the Fund as a number of our positions fell significantly. Some of
these followed negative newsflow and earnings downgrades. Yell
Group was the largest detractor as earnings forecasts were
downgraded. With this new information to hand, our original
investment rationale was no longer valid and we have sold out of
the position completely. Others in the same boat were 888 and
Regus. We've sold the former, but we still have confidence in our
decision to include Regus, and so have used the price weakness to
add to the position.
A number of strong performers from April (such as Paragon, Yule
Catto and Forth Ports, where a potential bid for the group fell
through) gave back some of their gains and were among the
detractors. Our investment case for Paragon and Yule Catto hasn't
changed, and they were still among our largest overweights at the
end of the month, but we've fully sold out of Forth Ports.
There were some positives too, particularly a small holding in gold
miner Centamin Egypt. Centamin Egypt reported results for the first
months of 2010 during May, with results positively received by the
market. Rising gold prices also helped, as investors sought
relative safe havens in the face of the European debt market
worries.
We were underweight Royal Dutch Shell, and overweights in Senior,
Dairy Crest and Holiday Break were all positive as they bucked the
trend and delivered positive gains for the month.
Outlook
The events over the past month serve as a timely reminder that we
mustn't get too carried away with a significant stance at present -
either too bullish on recovery or too bearish - as there remains
plenty of evidence of recovery and that economies are making
progress gently. We remain of the view that we will witness a
'subdued recovery' in the UK, and are gearing the portfolio
accordingly.
Important
Information Source for all fund
performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid, net income reinvested
and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at 31.05.10, unless
otherwise stated. Past performance is not a guide to future
performance. The value of investments can go down as well as up and
you may not get back your original investment. The Gartmore UK
Alpha Fund invests in shares, which are more volatile than other
asset classes such as cash or bonds. The Fund may hold concentrated
positions. If one of these concentrated positions declines in
value, or is otherwise adversely affected, this can have a greater
effect on the Fund's value than if it held less concentrated
positions. The Fund may hold a limited number of investments. If
one or more of these investments declines in value, or is otherwise
adversely affected, this can have a greater impact on the Fund's
value than if a larger number of investments were held. The Fund
can invest in smaller companies which can be more risky than
investing in larger companies due to lack of liquidity and
increased volatility. Funds with an emphasis on a particular sector
or geographical area are exposed to a higher risk of volatility
than a fund which is more broadly diversified. Please ensure your
clients read the Simplified Prospectus before investing. The
opinions expressed reflect Gartmore's views as at 18.06.10 and are
subject to change. As of 4 January 2010, the name and objective of
the Gartmore UK Alpha Fund was changed from the Gartmore UK Focus
Fund.
Back to top
Gartmore UK Equity Income
Fund
| • |
Difficult month for equities as macroeconomic concerns
dominated sentiment |
| • |
Higher level of activity this month, trimming larger positions
and introducing new holdings in McBride and Smith &
Nephew |
| • |
Good quality companies still sitting on attractive
valuations |
Review
May was another difficult month for equities as macroeconomic
concerns dominated sentiment. Every FTSE sector fell and there was
no clear differentiation between defensives and cyclicals. The oil
majors were the biggest drag on the market, with BP falling some
14% as it failed in its initial attempts to stem or capture the
flow of oil from its leaking well in the Gulf of Mexico.
The Gartmore UK Equity Income Fund delivered -6.0% in May, in line
with the IMA UK Equity Income Sector Average and slightly ahead of
the -6.2% return from the FTSE All-Share Index. Positions in
AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKline and Rolls Royce fared relatively well
and we benefited from underweight exposure to Shell and BP. We were
more disappointed by the poor performance of stocks such as WM
Morrison, BAE and Cobham, as we would have expected these to do
well in a period of increasing risk aversion.
Activity was higher than average on the Fund. We trimmed a number
of the more sizeable positions and reduced our weighting in
industrial stocks via the disposal of Melrose. The proceeds from
these sales were reinvested into two new holdings: McBride and
Smith & Nephew.
McBride produces private label household and personal care products
for over 90% of Europe's leading retailers. As long term owners of
Unilever, we are well aware of the intense promotional activity
being pursued by some of McBride's branded competitors. This
competitive dynamic, alongside concerns over rising commodity
costs, has pushed the valuation to levels we deem attractive. The
yield is healthy and well covered, the balance sheet is strong and
we feel the price can be justified at much lower margins than the
company is currently delivering. We have initiated a position of
c.1%.
Outlook
At macro level there is a shopping list of things to concern us:
high levels of sovereign and consumer debt, dislocated credit
markets, rising inflation, Chinese tightening, ongoing asset
bubbles and potentially rising interest rates. With such issues in
mind it seems remarkable to us that it's the "good quality"
companies that are sitting on the more attractive valuations.
Pharmaceutical companies remain our largest positions. While the
sector faces undeniable difficulties (genericisation, R&D
productivity) we feel these are more than compensated by lowly
ratings. From an income perspective, yields of over 5.5% are an
added bonus.
The income from the Fund is well diversified across stocks and
sectors and we feel positive on the prospects for dividend
growth.
Important
Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid,
net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at
31.05.10, unless otherwise stated. Past performance is not a guide
to future performance. The value of investments can go down as well
as up and you may not get back your original investment. The Fund
can invest in smaller companies which can be more risky than
investing in larger companies due to lack of liquidity and
increased volatility. The annual management fee is currently
charged to the capital of the Fund, which may restrict the
potential for capital growth. Funds with an emphasis on a
particular sector or geographical area are exposed to a higher risk
of volatility than a fund which is more broadly diversified. Please
ensure your clients read the Simplified Prospectus before
investing. The opinions expressed in reflect Gartmore's views as at
18.06.10 and are subject to change.
Back to top
Gartmore US Growth Fund
| • |
Markets fell during May, following a series of shocks leading
to a rise in risk aversion |
| • |
In general, economic fundamentals remained strong and still
support a US recovery |
| • |
Stock positions in more defensive sectors help mitigate against
negative market returns |
Performance
Over the month of May the Gartmore US Growth Fund returned -3.3%,
compared to a return of -3.1% for the S&P 500 Index and -3.9%
for the IMA North America Sector Average. The Fund has also
outperformed both the Index and Sector Average over the last three
months, year to date, and also longer term over 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and
10 years.
Market Review
The US large cap equity rally came to a screeching halt during May,
rocked by massive investor uncertainty regarding the global
economic growth outlook. This was exacerbated by a variety of macro
level developments, ranging from the Eurozone government budget
crisis (most prolifically, Greece) to a major oil spill in the Gulf
of Mexico and rapidly mounting geopolitical tensions between North
and South Korea.
Sector-level performance was unanimously in negative territory
during May, with the most pronounced weakness occurring in energy,
industrials and materials - three sectors that tend to be
associated with global economic recovery. At an industry level, no
group was spared a negative return during May, a clear indication
of the high levels of risk aversion being felt by the US Equity
market. The news was more or less the same across the market
capitalisation and style spectrum with everything
(small/medium/large; growth/value/core) down during the month and
generally in a highly correlated fashion.
Contributors to Performance
The single biggest contributor to performance was made by Baidu, a
provider of Chinese and Japanese language internet search services.
Following Google's decision to move its Chinese site offshore,
coupled with strong quarterly results, Baidu has gained
considerable market share. Elsewhere, exposure to DIRECTV also
contributed to gains. The group provides digital television
services in the US and Latin American markets and is considered the
world's No. 1 satellite provider with 18.7 million subscribers. The
company benefitted after first quarter earnings nearly tripled
compared to the same period last year.
Wells Fargo & Co. was one of the key detractors to performance
over the month. It is the fourth largest bank holding company in
the US and offers a full range of financial products and services,
targeting all types of clients, from individuals to large
corporations. Financials suffered considerably during May following
a shock short selling ban in Germany on some financials and
apparent stresses forming in European interbank lending. As a
leading financial stock it is considered to be a bank too big to
fail and its stock price has suffered as a result.
Fund Activity
During May we sold our position in MasterCard and Visa, following
the Senate's decision to amend the financial regulation bill which
would curb debit and credit card fees and allow merchants to set
limits on card transactions. Our concern is that by allowing
restrictions on when consumers can pay with plastic, the amendment
would likely crimp revenues for credit card networks. We also cut
our remaining position in Transocean, the owners of the wrecked
Deepwater Horizon rig leased to BP, who have found themselves
embroiled in the Gulf of Mexico oil spill tragedy. In addition, we
have added Monsanto, the biotechnology firm, returning it to the
Fund following the company's restructuring of its glyphosate
division and a rise in global demand for agricultural seeds, a
major part of the firm's business.
In terms of how the Fund is positioned, we are currently overweight
in materials, consumer discretionary and information technology
sectors. The Fund is also slightly overweight financials. These
allocations are held principally at the expense of sectors with
more defensive characteristics, notably consumer staples and
utilities.
Outlook
Recent data has, in the main, pointed to incremental improvements
in the US economy, despite high levels of volatility and risk
aversion currently affecting Global Markets. For much of the world,
including the US, the economic data points were not bad during May.
In fact, a significant majority of them pointed to increased
strength and a broadening recovery. These factors support our view
that the US economy will recover this year, despite a backdrop of
negative stock market performance that plagued US markets during
May.
Arguably, a number of these shocks are short term and have been
magnified by high levels of risk aversion. Flashpoint situations,
such as the Gulf oil spill, the failed terrorist attack in New York
and increasing tension between the two Koreas, will likely pass
over the coming months. What are more worrying are the potential
contagion concerns stemming from the sovereign debt crisis in the
Eurozone. It is still unclear what the full affect will be on the
US equity market. We are also yet to see whether the European
Central Bank's (ECB) rescue plan for Greece will be effective and
whether the ECB will be prepared to become a last resort lender in
the same manner as the Federal Fund reserve.
Important Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid,
net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at
31.05.10, unless otherwise stated. Past performance is not a guide
to future performance. The value of investments can go down as well
as up and you may not get back your original investment. Funds
investing in overseas securities are exposed to and can hold
currencies other than sterling. As a result, exchange rate
movements may cause the value of investments to decrease or
increase. The Fund is permitted to, and may hold, a limited number
of investments from time to time. Should one or more of these
investments decline or be otherwise adversely affected, it may have
a more pronounced effect on the Fund's value than if a larger
number of investments were held. In addition, the Fund can invest
in smaller companies which can be more risky than investing in
larger companies due to lack of liquidity and increased volatility.
Please ensure your clients read the Simplified Prospectus before
investing. The opinions expressed reflect Gartmore's views as at
18.06.10 and are subject to change.
Back to top
Gartmore US Opportunities
Fund
| • |
Markets fell during May, following a series of shocks leading
to a rise in risk aversion |
| • |
In general, economic fundamentals remained strong and still
support a US recovery |
| • |
Stock positions in more defensive sectors help mitigate against
negative market returns |
Performance
Over the month of May the Gartmore US Opportunities Fund returned
-3.5%, compared to a return of -3.1% for the S&P 500 Index and
-3.9% for the IMA North America Sector Average. The Fund has
outperformed the Index and Sector Average over the last 3 and 6
months and also longer term over 1, 3 and 10 years.
Market Review
The US large cap equity rally came to a screeching halt during May,
rocked by massive investor uncertainty regarding the global
economic growth outlook. This was exacerbated by a variety of macro
level developments, ranging from the Eurozone government budget
crisis (most prolifically, Greece) to a major oil spill in the Gulf
of Mexico and rapidly mounting geopolitical tensions between North
and South Korea.
Sector-level performance was unanimously in negative territory
during May, with the most pronounced weakness occurring in energy,
industrials and materials - three sectors that tend to be
associated with global economic recovery. At an industry level, no
group was spared a negative return during May, a clear indication
of the high levels of risk aversion being felt by the US Equity
market. The news was more or less the same across the market
capitalisation and style spectrum with everything
(small/medium/large; growth/value/core) down during the month and
generally in a highly correlated fashion.
Contributors to Performance
The single biggest contributor to performance was made by
Williams-Sonoma, the US gourmet-cookware retailer. The group
boosted its full-year profit forecast, excluding some items, to as
much as US$1.48 a share, topping the average US$1.37 made by
analysts. Another key contributor was retailer Rue21, which is a
teen speciality retailer that sells youth and junior-sized clothing
through mostly mall-based stores - it reported quarter profits
which beat analyst expectations. The Chipotle Mexican Grill, which
owns and operates quick-serve Mexican restaurants, was also a main
contributor to returns, with good earnings and strong profit growth
expected this year.
Wells Fargo & Co. was one of the key detractors to performance
over the month. It is the fourth largest bank holding company in
the US and offers a full range of financial products and services,
targeting all types of clients, from individuals to large
corporations. Financials suffered considerably during May following
a shock short selling ban in Germany on some financials and
apparent stresses forming in European interbank lending. As a
leading financial stock, it is considered to be a bank too big to
fail and its stock price has suffered as a result.
Fund Activity
During May we sold our position in MasterCard and Visa, following
the Senate's decision to amend the financial regulation bill which
would curb debit and credit card fees and allow merchants to set
limits on card transactions. Our concern is that by allowing
restrictions on when consumers can pay with plastic, the amendment
would likely crimp revenues for credit card networks. In addition,
we have added Monsanto, the biotechnology firm, returning it to the
Fund following the company's restructuring of its glyphosate
division and a rise in global demand for agricultural seeds, a
major part of the firm's business.
In terms of how the Fund is positioned, we are currently overweight
in materials, consumer discretionary and information technology
sectors. The Fund is also slightly overweight financials. These
allocations are held principally at the expense of sectors with
more defensive characteristics, notably consumer staples and
utilities.
Outlook
Recent data has, in the main, pointed to incremental improvements
in the US economy, despite high levels of volatility and risk
aversion currently affecting Global Markets. For much of the world,
including the US, the economic data points were not bad during May.
In fact, a significant majority of them pointed to increased
strength and a broadening recovery. These factors support our view
that the US economy will recover this year, despite a backdrop of
negative stock market performance that plagued US markets during
May.
Arguably, a number of these shocks are short-term and have been
magnified by high levels of risk aversion. Flashpoint situations,
such as the Gulf oil spill, the failed terrorist attack in New York
and increasing tension between the two Koreas, will likely pass
over the coming months. What are more worrying are the potential
contagion concerns stemming from the sovereign debt crisis in the
Eurozone. It is still unclear what the full affect will be on the
US equity market. We have also yet to see whether the European
Central Bank's (ECB) rescue plan for Greece will be effective and
whether the ECB will be prepared to become a last resort lender in
the same manner as the Federal Fund reserve.
Important Information
Source for all fund performance data: Lipper. Basis: Mid to mid,
net income reinvested and net of fees in UK sterling terms as at
31.05.10, unless otherwise stated. Past performance is not a guide
to future performance. The value of investments can go down as well
as up and you may not get back your original investment. Funds
investing in overseas securities are exposed to and can hold
currencies other than sterling. As a result, exchange rate
movements may cause the value of investments to decrease or
increase. The Fund may, from time to time, be significantly
invested in smaller companies which may be more risky than
investing in larger companies due to lack of liquidity and
increased volatility. The Fund is permitted to, and may hold, a
limited number of investments from time to time. Should one or more
of these investments decline or be otherwise adversely affected, it
may have a more pronounced effect on the Fund's value than if a
larger number of investments were held. Please ensure your clients
read the Simplified Prospectus before investing. The opinions
expressed reflect Gartmore's views as at 18.06.10 and are subject
to change.
Back to
top |